New Minnesota Amendments poll shows stable races
The calender flips to November and a KSTP commissioned SurveyUSA poll is out pertaining to the two constitutional amendments that Minnesotans will be voting on in just a few days. There was other stuff in the poll as well, but it will be the amendments under discussion in this post.
An amendment to the Minnesota Constitution on the ballot defines marriage as between one man and one woman. Will you vote FOR the amendment? Against the amendment? Or not vote on the measure?
For 48 (47) 
Against 47 (46) 
Undecided 5 (7) 
The sides in support and opposition both ticked up a point while undecideds ticked down two. This could be something, or it could be nothing. And that’s what you call analysis.
Like with the most recent Minnesota poll, the sample that was polled reported being less Democratic than the previous sample, in this case by three points. And like with the Minnesota poll the polling on the Marriage amendment didn’t take a hit. It stayed the same.
This is certainly not a bad sign, but I’m ambivalent about whether its anything more than not a bad sign. A lingering question remains of whether we can even trust the polling on the Marriage Amendment. I’ll have more on that in a future post though.
To help: Minnesotans United for all Families
Onto the question concerning the “other” amendment.
An amendment to the Minnesota Constitution on the ballot would require voters to show photo I.D.’s in order to vote on Election Day. Will you vote FOR the amendment? Against the amendment? Or not vote on the measure?
For 55 (53) 
Against 40 (40) 
Undecided 5 (7) 
There are four different polling firms that have polled the two amendments and they have released eight polls in just the last two months. In those eight polls the lowest amount of support that anyone has found is 51%, while the highest amount of opposition is 44%.
Right now the average of the last five polls sits at 53% in support of the amendment, 41% opposed and 6% undecided. And these averages have been the same over the last three polls that have come out.
The polling on the Photo Voter ID amendment appears to have stabilized and its not good news for the good guys. There’s still time though and GOTV will be key, as we don’t need to win, we just need to not lose too bad.
To help: Our Vote Our Future
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